An Integrated Technical Analysis Strategy for Zakat and Waqf Investment in Islamic Equity Markets

Authors

  • Sunardi Simanullang Universitas Islam Negeri Imam Bonjol Padang, Indonesia Author
  • Miftah Fauzianah Universitas Islam Negeri KH. Abdurrahman Wahid Pekalongan, Indonesia Author
  • Erik Lis Setiawan Universitas Wahab Hasbullah, Indonesia Author
  • Sholly Wahyudi Harahap Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Indonesia Author

Keywords:

Islamic social finance, technical analysis, zakat investment, waqf investment, Islamic equity market

Abstract

Islamic social funds such as zakat and waqf have significant potential to support financial stability and national economic resilience. However, the investment management of these funds is often constrained by the limited use of systematic and measurable strategies among fund managers. This study aims to develop an integrated technical analysis strategy to support more accountable and risk-aware investment decisions in the management of Islamic social funds. The research employs a quantitative analytical method with a cross-sectional approach using historical market data. The strategy integrates three technical analysis indicators: trend lines, support and resistance levels, and moving average analysis. Empirical simulations are conducted on stocks listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index over the past five years to evaluate the performance of the proposed strategy. The results show that the integrated technical analysis strategy produces more stable and profitable returns compared to the buy-and-hold strategy, while maintaining controlled levels of maximum drawdown. These findings indicate that the integration of technical analysis tools can enhance the effectiveness of investment decisions and strengthen the role of zakat and waqf funds as instruments supporting economic stability and resilience.

References

Aguirre, A. A. A., Méndez, N. D. D., & Medina, R. A. R. (2021). Artificial intelligence applied to investment in variable income through the MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) indicator. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, 26(52), 268–281. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEFAS-06-2020-0203

Akbar, S., Akber, A., & Parpio, Y. (2024). Stress and its associated factors in mothers with preterm infants in a private tertiary care hospital of Karachi, Pakistan: an analytical cross-sectional study. BMJ Open, 14(11), e091117. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2024-091117

Al-Roubaie, A., & Sarea, A. M. (2020). Rethinking Economic Development in Muslim Societies in the Context of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (pp. 683–695). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-44289-7_64

Amalia, A. N. (2018). Analisis Perbandingan Tingkat Stabilitas Keuangan Perbankan Syariah dan Konvensional di Indonesia. Syi`ar Iqtishadi : Journal of Islamic Economics, Finance and Banking, 2(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.35448/jiec.v2i1.3414

Apriliani, I., & Hidayati, A. N. (2023). Analisis Teknikal Sebagai Dasar Pengambilan Keputusan Dalam Jual Beli Saham Pada Jii-30 Periode 2020 – 2021. SOSEBI Jurnal Penelitian Mahasiswa Ilmu Sosial Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Islam, 3(2), 100–114. https://doi.org/10.21274/sosebi.v3i2.8622

Azmi, M. U., Lahuri, S. Bin, Kanggas, F. Z., Kamaluddin, I., & Harahap, S. A. R. (2021). Productive Waqf Fund Management Strategy. Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE), 4(1), 201–218. https://doi.org/10.31538/iijse.v4i1.1576

Az-Zahra, D. W., Ediz, M. H., Nafian, Z. I., & Metriadi, M. (2025). Aberrant Behavior of Widows in Muslim Societies. Multidisciplinary Journal of Thought and Research, 1(2), 55–65. https://mujoter.intischolar.id/index.php/mujoter/article/view/15%0Ahttps://mujoter.intischolar.id/index.php/mujoter/article/download/15/12

Busral, B., Rambe, K. F., Gunawan, R., Jaafar, A., Habibi, U. A., & Engkizar, E. (2025). Lived da’wah: Temporal structuring of religious practice in Tabligh jamaat’s daily congregation. Jurnal Ilmu Dakwah, 45(2), 377–398. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.21580/jid.v45.2.28479

Cloughton, C. (2020). Investigating the link between innovation and mainstream adoption: How to identify consumer trends. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 55, 101915. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jretconser.2019.101915

Dai, B., Marshall, B. R., Nguyen, N. H., & Visaltanachoti, N. (2021). Risk reduction using trailing stop‐loss rules. International Review of Finance, 21(4), 1334–1352. https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12328

Danlami, M. R., Abduh, M., & Razak, L. A. (2023). Social finance, institutional quality and stability of Islamic banks: evidence from four countries. International Journal of Social Economics, 50(8), 1186–1216. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-06-2022-0441

Debo, L., Rajan, U., & Veeraraghavan, S. K. (2020). Signaling Quality via Long Lines and Uninformative Prices. Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, 22(3), 513–527. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2018.0753

Detzel, A., Liu, H., Strauss, J., Zhou, G., & Zhu, Y. (2021). Learning and predictability via technical analysis: Evidence from bitcoin and stocks with hard‐to‐value fundamentals. Financial Management, 50(1), 107–137. https://doi.org/10.1111/fima.12310

Dichtl, H. (2020). Investing in the S&P 500 index: Can anything beat the buy‐and‐hold strategy? Review of Financial Economics, 38(2), 352–378. https://doi.org/10.1002/rfe.1078

Du, Z., Pei, P., Wang, X., & Yang, T. (2024). Powerful Backtests for Historical Simulation Expected Shortfall Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 42(3), 864–874. https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2023.2252881

Engkizar, E, Jaafar, A., Alias, M., Guspita, B., & Albizar, R. (2025). Utilisation of Artificial Intelligence in Qur’anic Learning: Innovation or Threat? Journal of Quranic Teaching and Learning, 1(2), 1–17. https://joqer.intischolar.id/index.php/joqer/index

Engkizar, E., Jaafar, A., Sarianto, D., Ayad, N., Rahman, A., Febriani, A., Oktavia, G., Guspita, R., & Rahman, I. (2024). Analysis of Quran Education Problems in Majority Muslim Countries. International Journal of Islamic Studies Higher Education, 3(1), 65–80. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.24036/insight.v3i1.209

Engkizar, Engkizar, Jaafar, A., Taufan, M., Rahman, I., Oktavia, G., & Guspita, R. (2023). Quran Teacher: Future Profession or Devotion to the Ummah? International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research of Higher Education (IJMURHICA), 6(4), 196–210. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.24036/ijmurhica.v6i4.321

Engkizar, Engkizar, Muslim, H., Mulyadi, I., & Putra, Y. A. (2025). Ten Criteria for an Ideal Teacher to Memorize the Quran. Journal of Theory and Research Memorization Quran, 1(1), 26–39. https://joqer.intischolar.id/index.php/joqer

Fang, F., Ventre, C., Basios, M., Kanthan, L., Martinez-Rego, D., Wu, F., & Li, L. (2022). Cryptocurrency trading: a comprehensive survey. Financial Innovation, 8(1), 13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-021-00321-6

Hidayah, S. N. (2021). Pesantren for Middle-Class Muslims in Indonesia (Between Religious Commodification and Pious Neoliberalism). QIJIS (Qudus International Journal of Islamic Studies), 9(1), 209. https://doi.org/10.21043/qijis.v9i1.7641

Kassymova, G. K., Engkizar, E., Hebebci, M. T., & Talgatov, Y. K. (2025). Interreligious Coexistence in Islam: Implications for Islamic Education and the Achievement of SDGs. Muaddib: Journal of Islamic Teaching and Learning, 1(3), 79–92.

Kumar, L., Khedlekar, S., & Khedlekar, U. K. (2024). A comparative assessment of holt winter exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average for inventory optimization in supply chains. Supply Chain Analytics, 8, 100084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sca.2024.100084

Mercure, J.-F., Sharpe, S., Vinuales, J. E., Ives, M., Grubb, M., Lam, A., Drummond, P., Pollitt, H., Knobloch, F., & Nijsse, F. J. M. M. (2021). Risk-opportunity analysis for transformative policy design and appraisal. Global Environmental Change, 70, 102359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102359

Milana, C., & Ashta, A. (2021). Artificial intelligence techniques in finance and financial markets: A survey of the literature. Strategic Change, 30(3), 189–209. https://doi.org/10.1002/jsc.2403

Mohd Noh, M. S., Nor Azelan, S. H., & Zulkepli, M. I. S. (2025). A review on Gharar dimension in modern Islamic finance transactions. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 16(5), 976–989. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-01-2023-0006

Morão, H. (2025). The macroeconomic effects of climate policy uncertainty: Evidence from Portugal. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 32, e00426. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2025.e00426

Muqorobin, A., & Urrosyidin, M. S. (2023). The Contribution of Zakat, Infaq, Sadaqa, and Waqf (Ziswaf) Strategic Management in Developing the Prosperity of Ummah. Journal of Islamic Economics and Finance Studies, 4(1), 27–47. https://doi.org/10.47700/jiefes.v4i1.5698

Ni, W., Chen, Q., Guo, X., & Liu, Y. (2025). Enhanced securities investment strategy using ISSA–SVM: a hybrid model combining adaptive moving average, support vector machine, and multi-strategy sparrow search algorithm for improved trend tracking and risk adjustment. Discover Applied Sciences, 7(6), 536. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-025-07016-y

Nti, I. K., Adekoya, A. F., & Weyori, B. A. (2020). A systematic review of fundamental and technical analysis of stock market predictions. Artificial Intelligence Review, 53(4), 3007–3057. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-019-09754-z

Okenova, B., Xu, W., & Adel, S. (2025). The Practice of Moderate Education to Prevent Interreligious Conflict. Muaddib: Journal of Islamic Teaching and Learning, 1(2), 36–54. https://doi.org/https://muaddib.intischolar.id/index.php/muaddib/article/view/8

Razak, S. H. A. (2020). Zakat and waqf as instrument of Islamic wealth in poverty alleviation and redistribution. International Journal of Sociology and Social Policy, 40(3/4), 249–266. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSSP-11-2018-0208

Rohman, B. (2023). Analisis Strategi Pendayagunaan Aset Wakaf Pada Persyarikatan Muhammadiyah. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam, 9(3), 3556. https://doi.org/10.29040/jiei.v9i3.10442

Sari, P. I., Tita, E. I., & Albizar, . A. (2025). Eight Concepts and Practices: Buying and Selling in Islam. Multidisciplinary Journal of Thought and Research, 1(2), 38–54. https://mujoter.intischolar.id/index.php/mujoter/article/view/1

Sukma, N., & Namahoot, C. S. (2025). Enhancing Trading Strategies: A Multi-indicator Analysis for Profitable Algorithmic Trading. Computational Economics, 65(6), 3807–3840. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-024-10669-3

Urif, U. Z., Fajria, M. I. N., & Rahmi, U. (2019). Zakat and Wakaf (Endowments) Role in Muslims Economic Development of Islamic Economic Perspective. Islamika, 1(2), 133–153. https://doi.org/10.36088/islamika.v1i2.299

Utomo, S. B., Sekaryuni, R., Widarjono, A., Tohirin, A., & Sudarsono, H. (2021). Promoting Islamic financial ecosystem to improve halal industry performance in Indonesia: a demand and supply analysis. Journal of Islamic Marketing, 12(5), 992–1011. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIMA-12-2019-0259

Weis, C., Cuénod, A., Rieck, B., Dubuis, O., Graf, S., Lang, C., Oberle, M., Brackmann, M., Søgaard, K. K., Osthoff, M., Borgwardt, K., & Egli, A. (2022). Direct antimicrobial resistance prediction from clinical MALDI-TOF mass spectra using machine learning. Nature Medicine, 28(1), 164–174. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01619-9

Xiang, Y., & Deng, S. (2024). Optimal stop-loss rules in markets with long-range dependence. Quantitative Finance, 24(2), 253–263. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2024.2306830

Yıldırım, D. C., Toroslu, I. H., & Fiore, U. (2021). Forecasting directional movement of Forex data using LSTM with technical and macroeconomic indicators. Financial Innovation, 7(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-020-00220-2

Zhang, Q., Hu, Y., Jiao, J., & Wang, S. (2022). Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis. Sustainability, 14(15), 9536. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14159536

Downloads

Published

2026-01-28

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Simanullang, S., Fauzianah, M. ., Setiawan, E. L., & Harahap, S. W. . (2026). An Integrated Technical Analysis Strategy for Zakat and Waqf Investment in Islamic Equity Markets. Journal of Islamic Thought and Research, 1(1), 1-10. https://jitor.intischolar.id/index.php/jitor/article/view/8